CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-10-31T13:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-10-31T13:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/34348/-1
CME Note: Faint, near partial halo CME first seen in the SE by SOHO LASCO C2 beginning at 2024-10-31T13:48Z, as well as by SOHO LASCO C3 and STEREO A COR2 in later frames. The source of this event is brightening and a subsequent eruption from Active Region 3877 (S16E02) beginning at approx. 31/12:51Z. The brightening is visible in SDO AIA 94 and 131, along with the eruptive material visible in SDO AIA and GOES SUVI 304, and wide but faint field line movement seen South of the Active Region in SDO AIA 193. This flare brightened in tandem with AR 3875, however AR 3875 was responsible for the majority of the brightening and is there for the associated Active Region for the event.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2024-11-03T16:47Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-11-03T20:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.665 - 4.335
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -1564.17 hour(s)
Difference: -3.22 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:57Z
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